City
Epaper

IMF raises forecast for US to 2.6% in 2019

By IANS | Updated: June 7, 2019 10:15 IST

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised economic growth forecasts for the US to 2.6 per cent this year and 2 per cent in 2020, compared to 2.3 per cent and 1.9 per cent in April respectively, despite the trade war with China and threats to Mexico.

Open in App

"A fiscal expansion put in place in 2017-18 with tax reductions and an increase in both defence and non-defence spending has helped bring annual growth to 2.9 per cent in 2018," it said on Thursday in an annual report on the US economy.

"However, as the effects of this fiscal impulse fade over the next few years, growth will gravitate back toward potential (of around 1.75 per cent)."

The IMF warned that "a deepening of ongoing trade disputes or an abrupt reversal of the recent ebullient financial market conditions represent material risks to the US economy (with concomitant negative outward spill-overs)", reports Efe news.

In a press conference to present the report, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde reiterated that "nobody wins a trade war" and said that all parties involved suffer.

In addition to warning about "the unsustainable path" of the rise in the US debt, the report also offered a bleak outlook on problematic social indicators in the country.

Among them, it stressed that although the US is the world's leading economy, life expectancy "well below that of other G7 countries", there are still almost 45 million Americans living in poverty and that the distribution of income and wealth distribution "is increasingly polarized".

Lagarde also said that the IMF "fully agree" with the pause applied by the Federal Reserve in its rate of monetary adjustment and added that future increases in interest rates, currently between 2.25 and 2.5 per cent, should not happen until policymakers have had time to "gauge the balance of risks to both inflation and employment outcomes and to build a clearer picture of whether further adjustments in the federal funds rate are warranted".

( With inputs from IANS )

Tags: Christine LagardeFederal Reserve
Open in App

Related Stories

InternationalTwo-thirds of economists, major leaders in banks think US is not going to have recession: US President

BusinessModeration in inflation, firm US markets buoy Indian stock markets

BusinessEurozone inflation slides to lowest in over one year: NYT

BusinessDomestic stocks to track lower global cues next week

BusinessECB hikes interest rates by 25 bps in fight against inflation

कारोबार Realted Stories

BusinessXLRI Jamshedpur to Host High-Impact Business-Biodiversity Conclave in Collaboration with IUCN

Business70 pc women entrepreneurs in India eager to improve business-critical skills: Report

BusinessGNC India Launches Creatine + Electrolytes: A Revolutionary Hydration-Focused Performance Formula

BusinessGlobal landscape architect Cracknell partners with Trinity to bring India's first man-made beach to Sky Palazzo Residences, Gurugram

BusinessUS tariffs may erode Rs 2700-4500 cr of operating profits of Indian auto component exporters: ICRA